A state losing grip

For years, Pakistan’s crises have been explained through a familiar list: terrorism, political instability, foreign conspiracies, or economic shocks. But these explanations miss the deeper and more uncomfortable truth. Pakistan is not merely facing isolated crises; it is suffering from a gradual breakdown of governance.
The clearest sign of this breakdown is not found in constitutional debates or television talk shows. It is visible in everyday life: collapsing municipal services, unchecked encroachments, dysfunctional institutions, and a bureaucracy that increasingly avoids responsibility while fiercely protecting its privileges.Take Islamabad, the capital city, as a sample. Two decades ago, Islamabad was widely regarded as one of the cleanest and most orderly cities in South Asia. Its roads were maintained, green belts were protected, traffic was manageable, and residents felt relatively safe. Today, much of that reputation has vanished. Encroachments spread openly, garbage accumulates in many areas, traffic discipline has deteriorated, public spaces are poorly maintained, and citizens no longer associate the city with efficiency or serenity.
This decline did not happen overnight. It happened because institutions stopped taking ownership. If the Pakistani state cannot effectively manage Islamabad — the face of the country, the seat of the federal government, and the area with the highest concentration of administrative resources — how can it realistically govern the remote districts of Balochistan or the conflict-affected regions of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa?
The bureaucracy, once considered the backbone of the state, has increasingly become a system focused on self-preservation. Civil servants are often reluctant to make decisions, fearing accountability more than failure. Files move endlessly from one desk to another, while projects remain stalled for years. When problems emerge, the instinct is to blame politicians, previous governments, courts, auditors, or lack of funds—anyone except the officials responsible for implementation. Increasingly, many bureaucrats also attribute administrative failures to the military, arguing that excessive interference has deprived them of the authority to function independently. While civil-military imbalance has long been part of Pakistan’s governance debate and may constrain decision-making in some areas, this explanation cannot become a blanket excuse for bureaucratic inertia. Even within the authority they do possess, many officials avoid taking ownership of their responsibilities, resulting in poor governance, delayed decisions, and declining public services. A bureaucracy that continually points fingers at others while refusing to exercise leadership where it can ultimately weakens the very institutions it is meant to uphold.
At the same time, the perks of office remain fiercely guarded. The public increasingly sees a governing class that appears more interested in salaries, plots, vehicles, and allowances than in delivering services. This perception may not be universally fair, but it has become widespread enough to damage the legitimacy of the state itself.
Compounding this administrative paralysis is Pakistan’s unresolved power structure. The country is effectively governed through a hybrid system in which authority is dispersed among multiple power centers. Elected governments possess formal responsibility, but not always full control over key policy areas. Unelected institutions influence major decisions, while political parties, provincial governments, and security actors operate with overlapping mandates.
The result is a chronic accountability vacuum. When policies fail, no single institution accepts ownership. Governments say they were constrained; other institutions say implementation was the government’s job. Citizens are left wondering who is actually in charge.
Nowhere is the cost of this confusion more visible than in Khyber Pakhtunkhwa and Balochistan. Militancy and insurgency have re-emerged as serious threats. Attacks on security forces have increased, and large areas continue to experience insecurity that discourages investment and weakens state authority.
What makes the situation even more alarming is the recent public statement by Jamiat Ulema-e-Islam chief Maulana Fazlur Rehman during a speech in Lahore, where he claimed that elements within the military had asked him to help form local lashkars (armed militias) to confront militants. Whether one agrees with his politics or not, such a statement is deeply troubling. A modern state is supposed to maintain a monopoly over the use of force through professional security institutions. The mere public discussion of relying on tribal or political militias suggests that confidence in the state’s capacity to provide security is under strain.
And as if these challenges were not enough to cause sleepless nights, Pakistan recently witnessed another self-inflicted wound: the controversy over the 12 reserved seats in Azad Jammu and Kashmir.
What should have been handled as a legal and political dispute escalated into violence, confrontation, and bitter polarization. Images of clashes circulated widely, creating resentment among many Kashmiris who already feel politically marginalized. Instead of strengthening Pakistan’s moral position on Kashmir, the episode handed India an opportunity to question Pakistan’s democratic credentials on its television channels and public platforms.
This is the tragedy of governance failure: even issues where Pakistan enjoys international sympathy can be undermined by domestic mismanagement.
The economic picture offers little comfort. Pakistan remains trapped in a cycle of low growth, high inflation, heavy debt, and repeated dependence on external bailouts. Investment remains weak, exports struggle to grow, and unemployment continues to rise. Businesses face policy uncertainty, energy costs, taxation disputes, and regulatory confusion.
But the most dangerous economic indicator cannot be found in GDP tables. It is the growing number of Pakistanis who no longer see their future in Pakistan.
Millions of young people dream not of building businesses, conducting research, or serving institutions at home, but of obtaining a visa to almost any country that offers stability and opportunity. The queues outside embassies, the booming immigration consultancy industry, and the relentless search for foreign jobs are not merely economic phenomena; they are political signals.
When the youth of a country lose faith in the future of their own nation, no development strategy can succeed. Human capital is the foundation of growth. A society whose educated and ambitious citizens are trying to leave is a society that is consuming its future.
Pakistan still possesses enormous strengths: a young population, strategic geography, entrepreneurial talent, agricultural potential, and a large diaspora. But these advantages cannot compensate indefinitely for the absence of governance. The country does not need another grand narrative. It needs functioning institutions.
It needs officials who make decisions, governments that are allowed to govern, clear lines of authority, professional security management, respect for law, and accountability that is applied consistently rather than selectively.
The warning signs are no longer confined to distant regions. They are visible in the capital itself. A state does not collapse in a single dramatic moment; it erodes gradually, as disorder becomes normal and responsibility disappears.
Pakistan still has time to reverse course. But the first step is to recognize that the central crisis is not merely political or economic. It is the steady loss of the state’s ability — and willingness — to govern.

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